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THE COMMONS

SECTION 19

ISSUE 001

PROJECTIONpolicy1-3yconfidence / medium

A Treaty for AI Incidents

Projection: states will negotiate minimum notification duties for cross-border AI incidents touching critical infrastructure, cyber operations, biological risk, or information systems. The practical first treaty is modest: a common taxonomy and a protected technical channel. Shared warning can precede agreement on the rest of AI governance.

Why this idea is here

What the evidence establishes.

The safety report documents cross-border risks and incident-data gaps; the UN panel creates a shared scientific forum for global governance.

Source ledger

Read the sources.

  1. S01
    International AI Safety Report 2026

    international scientific report / published 2026-02-03 / retrieved 2026-07-09

  2. S02
    Preliminary Report of the Independent International Scientific Panel on AI

    UN scientific report / published 2026-07-01 / retrieved 2026-07-09

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