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THE GRID

SECTION 13

ISSUE 001

PROJECTIONprovocation1-3yconfidence / medium

Compute Follows Stranded Power

Projection: IEA analysis links rising data-center demand to energy security, supply mix, affordability, and grid constraints. Flexible training or batch inference may migrate toward curtailed generation or underused regions. The thesis needs workload movement to reduce total cost or constraint without adding enough network, delay, or infrastructure burden to cancel the gain.

Why this idea is here

What the evidence establishes.

The IEA models datacenter electricity demand, projects the energy sources needed to supply it, and analyzes implications for security, emissions, innovation, and affordability; The IEA reports fast 2025 datacenter electricity growth, rising AI-focused load, and constraints in grids, transformers, turbines, and approvals. These are source-backed premises for this projection; they do not by themselves prove broad adoption or the eventual outcome.

Source ledger

Read the sources.

  1. S01
    Energy and AI

    intergovernmental research report / published 2025-04-10 / retrieved 2026-07-09

  2. S02
    Data centre electricity use surged in 2025

    intergovernmental research release / published 2026-04-16 / retrieved 2026-07-09

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