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THE CIVIC STACK
SECTION 14
ISSUE 001
PROJECTIONresearch1-3yconfidence / medium
Policy Simulators Show Their Uncertainty
Projection: policy simulators will earn trust by displaying what they cannot settle. Assumptions, sensitivity, distributional effects, and model disagreement should remain visible, especially where values are contested. The simulator’s proper role is to sharpen the question and expose missing evidence—not manufacture one authoritative future for political convenience.
Why this idea is here
What the evidence establishes.
OECD documents government interest in AI-supported decisions; the UN panel warns that governance often must act before evidence becomes conclusive.
Source ledger
Read the sources.
- S01Governing with Artificial Intelligence
OECD report / dated 2025-06 / retrieved 2026-07-09
- S02Preliminary Report of the Independent International Scientific Panel on AI
UN scientific report / published 2026-07-01 / retrieved 2026-07-09