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THE CIVIC STACK

SECTION 14

ISSUE 001

PROJECTIONresearch1-3yconfidence / medium

Policy Simulators Show Their Uncertainty

Projection: policy simulators will earn trust by displaying what they cannot settle. Assumptions, sensitivity, distributional effects, and model disagreement should remain visible, especially where values are contested. The simulator’s proper role is to sharpen the question and expose missing evidence—not manufacture one authoritative future for political convenience.

Why this idea is here

What the evidence establishes.

OECD documents government interest in AI-supported decisions; the UN panel warns that governance often must act before evidence becomes conclusive.

Source ledger

Read the sources.

  1. S01
    Governing with Artificial Intelligence

    OECD report / dated 2025-06 / retrieved 2026-07-09

  2. S02
    Preliminary Report of the Independent International Scientific Panel on AI

    UN scientific report / published 2026-07-01 / retrieved 2026-07-09

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